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1.
Pharmacoeconomics ; 42(3): 319-328, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37989969

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: High upfront costs and long-term benefit uncertainties of gene therapies challenge Medicaid budgets, making value-based contracts a potential solution. However, value-based contract design is hindered by cost-offset uncertainty. The aim of this study is to determine actual cost-offsets for valoctocogene roxaparvovec (hemophilia A) and etranacogene dezaparvovec (hemophilia B) from Colorado Medicaid's perspective, defining payback periods and its uncertainty from the perspective of Colorado Medicaid. METHODS: This cost analysis used 2018-2022 data from the Colorado Department of Health Care Policy & Financing to determine standard-of-care costs and employed cost simulation models to estimate the cost of Medicaid if patients switched to gene therapy versus if they did not. Data encompassed medical and pharmacy expenses of Colorado Medicaid enrollees. Identified cohorts were patients aged 18+ with ICD-10-CM codes D66 (hemophilia A) and D67 (hemophilia B). Severe hemophilia A required ≥ 6 claims per year for factor therapies or emicizumab, while moderate/severe hemophilia B necessitated ≥ 4 claims per year for factor therapies. Patients were included in the cohort in the year they first met the criteria and were subsequently retained in the cohort for the duration of the observation period. Standard-of-care included factor VIII replacement therapy/emicizumab for hemophilia A and factor IX replacement therapies for hemophilia B. Simulated patients received valoctocogene roxaparvovec or etranacogene dezaparvovec. Main measures were annual standard-of-care costs, cost offset, and breakeven time when using gene therapies. RESULTS: Colorado Medicaid's standard-of-care costs for hemophilia A and B were $426,000 [standard deviation (SD) $353,000] and $546,000 (SD $542,000) annually, respectively. Substituting standard-of-care with gene therapy for eligible patients yielded 8-year and 6-year average breakeven times, using real-world costs, compared with 5 years with published economic evaluation costs. Substantial variability in real-world standard-of-care costs resulted in a 48% and 59% probability of breakeven within 10 years for hemophilia A and B, respectively. Altering eligibility criteria significantly influenced breakeven time. CONCLUSIONS: Real-world data indicates substantial uncertainty and extended payback periods for gene therapy costs. Utilizing real-world data, Medicaid can negotiate value-based contracts to manage budget fluctuations, share risk with manufacturers, and enhance patient access to innovative treatments.


Assuntos
Hemofilia A , Hemofilia B , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Medicaid , Análise Custo-Benefício , Terapia Genética
2.
Ther Clin Risk Manag ; 19: 745-753, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37744558

RESUMO

Objective: COVID-19, coinciding with the opioid epidemic in the United States, has had significant impacts on health-care utilization. While mixed, early analyses signaled a potential resurgence in opioid use following the pandemic. The primary study objective was to assess the association of the COVID-19 pandemic with opioid utilization among Health First Colorado (Colorado's Medicaid Program) members and a non-Medicaid managed care cohort who did not have a diagnosis of cancer or sickle cell disease. Patients and Methods: Using an interrupted time series and segmented regression analysis, this population-level study assessed the association of the COVID-19 pandemic on prescribed utilization of long- and short-acting opioid analgesics among Health First Colorado members and a random sample of non-Medicaid managed care members. Pharmacy claims data for both cohorts were assessed between October 1, 2018, and September 30, 2021, with April 2020 identified as the interruption of interest. We evaluated the following monthly opioid use measures separately for short-acting and long-acting opioids: number of members filling an opioid, total fills, and total days supplied. Results: Short- and long-acting opioid utilization was significantly decreasing among Health First Colorado members in the 18 months prior to the start of COVID-19. After the onset of the pandemic, utilization stabilized and slopes were not significantly different from zero. Among the non-Medicaid managed care cohort, short- and long-acting opioid utilization significantly decreased in the 18 months leading up to the onset of the pandemic. After the onset of the pandemic, utilization of long-acting opioids stabilized, while utilization of short-acting opioids significantly increased. Conclusion: While we observed an increase in opioid utilization measures post-pandemic in the non-Medicaid managed care cohort, a similar increase was not observed in Health First Colorado members suggesting that thoughtful opioid policies put in place pre-pandemic may have been effective at controlling potential inappropriate opioid utilization.

3.
J Am Pharm Assoc (2003) ; 63(1): 301-308, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36528493

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Since the mid-1990s, more than 500,000 deaths have been attributed to the opioid overdose epidemic, which has created a serious national crisis affecting public health and social and economic welfare. To mitigate these opioid-related overdoses and deaths, interventions targeted at both the patient and community level are needed. OBJECTIVE: This demonstration project sought to determine whether implementation of a provider-to-provider opioid pain teleconsultation service with a pain specialist was correlated with a reduction in inappropriate opioid use and improve health outcomes. METHODS: Individual-level claims data for Health First Colorado Medicaid members were collected between March 1, 2017, and September 30, 2021, for individuals who triggered a provider-to-provider pain management teleconsultation based on receipt of a prescription for an opioid where the member was receiving a high-dose opioid (n = 125) or was opioid-naive (n = 819). The primary outcome measures were a patient's opioid dose less than 200 morphine milligram equivalent (MME) by 6 months after the consult if consult was triggered for high-dose use or discontinuation of an opioid by 12 weeks after consult if the consult was triggered for opioid naivety. Secondary opioid-related health outcomes were also assessed. RESULTS: In the high-dose opioid cohort, 87% of the members had their monthly average MME reduced to less than 200 by 180 days after their consult. More than half of the opioid-naive group had discontinued their opioid by 90 days after their consult. CONCLUSION: Results indicate that provider-to-provider teleconsultation services with a pain specialist can be an effective intervention at reducing total inappropriate opioid use.


Assuntos
Overdose de Drogas , Overdose de Opiáceos , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides , Consulta Remota , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Analgésicos Opioides/efeitos adversos , Colorado/epidemiologia , Overdose de Drogas/epidemiologia , Overdose de Drogas/tratamento farmacológico , Overdose de Opiáceos/tratamento farmacológico , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/epidemiologia , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Opioides/tratamento farmacológico , Padrões de Prática Médica , Dor/tratamento farmacológico
4.
Clin Infect Dis ; 72(3): 438-447, 2021 02 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31970389

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: When trying to control regional spread of antibiotic-resistant pathogens such as carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE), decision makers must choose the highest-yield facilities to target for interventions. The question is, with limited resources, how best to choose these facilities. METHODS: Using our Regional Healthcare Ecosystem Analyst-generated agent-based model of all Chicago metropolitan area inpatient facilities, we simulated the spread of CRE and different ways of choosing facilities to apply a prevention bundle (screening, chlorhexidine gluconate bathing, hand hygiene, geographic separation, and patient registry) to a resource-limited 1686 inpatient beds. RESULTS: Randomly selecting facilities did not impact prevalence, but averted 620 new carriers and 175 infections, saving $6.3 million in total costs compared to no intervention. Selecting facilities by type (eg, long-term acute care hospitals) yielded a 16.1% relative prevalence decrease, preventing 1960 cases and 558 infections, saving $62.4 million more than random selection. Choosing the largest facilities was better than random selection, but not better than by type. Selecting by considering connections to other facilities (ie, highest volume of discharge patients) yielded a 9.5% relative prevalence decrease, preventing 1580 cases and 470 infections, and saving $51.6 million more than random selection. Selecting facilities using a combination of these metrics yielded the greatest reduction (19.0% relative prevalence decrease, preventing 1840 cases and 554 infections, saving $59.6 million compared with random selection). CONCLUSIONS: While choosing target facilities based on single metrics (eg, most inpatient beds, most connections to other facilities) achieved better control than randomly choosing facilities, more effective targeting occurred when considering how these and other factors (eg, patient length of stay, care for higher-risk patients) interacted as a system.


Assuntos
Enterobacteriáceas Resistentes a Carbapenêmicos , Infecção Hospitalar , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae , Chicago/epidemiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Ecossistema , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/epidemiologia , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/prevenção & controle , Humanos
5.
Am J Epidemiol ; 190(3): 448-458, 2021 02 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33145594

RESUMO

Typically, long-term acute care hospitals (LTACHs) have less experience in and incentives to implementing aggressive infection control for drug-resistant organisms such as carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) than acute care hospitals. Decision makers need to understand how implementing control measures in LTACHs can impact CRE spread regionwide. Using our Chicago metropolitan region agent-based model to simulate CRE spread and control, we estimated that a prevention bundle in only LTACHs decreased prevalence by a relative 4.6%-17.1%, averted 1,090-2,795 new carriers, 273-722 infections and 37-87 deaths over 3 years and saved $30.5-$69.1 million, compared with no CRE control measures. When LTACHs and intensive care units intervened, prevalence decreased by a relative 21.2%. Adding LTACHs averted an additional 1,995 carriers, 513 infections, and 62 deaths, and saved $47.6 million beyond implementation in intensive care units alone. Thus, LTACHs may be more important than other acute care settings for controlling CRE, and regional efforts to control drug-resistant organisms should start with LTACHs as a centerpiece.


Assuntos
Enterobacteriáceas Resistentes a Carbapenêmicos , Protocolos Clínicos/normas , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/epidemiologia , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/prevenção & controle , Administração Hospitalar , Controle de Infecções/organização & administração , Simulação por Computador , Humanos , Controle de Infecções/normas , Modelos Teóricos
6.
Clin Infect Dis ; 70(5): 843-849, 2020 02 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31070719

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Regions are considering the use of electronic registries to track patients who carry antibiotic-resistant bacteria, including carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE). Implementing such a registry can be challenging and requires time, effort, and resources; therefore, there is a need to better understand the potential impact. METHODS: We developed an agent-based model of all inpatient healthcare facilities (90 acute care hospitals, 9 long-term acute care hospitals, 351 skilled nursing facilities, and 12 ventilator-capable skilled nursing facilities) in the Chicago metropolitan area, surrounding communities, and patient flow using our Regional Healthcare Ecosystem Analyst software platform. Scenarios explored the impact of a registry that tracked patients carrying CRE to help guide infection prevention and control. RESULTS: When all Illinois facilities participated (n = 402), the registry reduced the number of new carriers by 11.7% and CRE prevalence by 7.6% over a 3-year period. When 75% of the largest Illinois facilities participated (n = 304), registry use resulted in a 11.6% relative reduction in new carriers (16.9% and 1.2% in participating and nonparticipating facilities, respectively) and 5.0% relative reduction in prevalence. When 50% participated (n = 201), there were 10.7% and 5.6% relative reductions in incident carriers and prevalence, respectively. When 25% participated (n = 101), there was a 9.1% relative reduction in incident carriers (20.4% and 1.6% in participating and nonparticipating facilities, respectively) and 2.8% relative reduction in prevalence. CONCLUSIONS: Implementing an extensively drug-resistant organism registry reduced CRE spread, even when only 25% of the largest Illinois facilities participated due to patient sharing. Nonparticipating facilities garnered benefits, with reductions in new carriers.


Assuntos
Enterobacteriáceas Resistentes a Carbapenêmicos , Infecção Hospitalar , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae , Chicago , Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Ecossistema , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/epidemiologia , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Illinois/epidemiologia , Sistema de Registros
7.
Vaccine ; 37(17): 2377-2386, 2019 04 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30922700

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Since special efforts are necessary to vaccinate people living far from fixed vaccination posts, decision makers are interested in knowing the economic value of such efforts. METHODS: Using our immunization geospatial information system platform and a measles compartment model, we quantified the health and economic value of a 2-dose measles immunization outreach strategy for children <24 months of age in Kenya who are geographically hard-to-reach (i.e., those living outside a specified catchment radius from fixed vaccination posts, which served as a proxy for access to services). FINDINGS: When geographically hard-to-reach children were not vaccinated, there were 1427 total measles cases from 2016 to 2020, resulting in $9.5 million ($3.1-$18.1 million) in direct medical costs and productivity losses and 7504 (3338-12,903) disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The outreach strategy cost $76 ($23-$142)/DALY averted (compared to no outreach) when 25% of geographically hard-to-reach children received MCV1, $122 ($40-$226)/DALY averted when 50% received MCV1, and $274 ($123-$478)/DALY averted when 100% received MCV1. CONCLUSION: Outreach vaccination among geographically hard-to-reach populations was highly cost-effective in a wide variety of scenarios, offering support for investment in an effective outreach vaccination strategy.


Assuntos
Análise Custo-Benefício , Vacina contra Sarampo/economia , Sarampo/epidemiologia , Sarampo/prevenção & controle , Fatores de Risco , Geografia Médica , Humanos , Quênia/epidemiologia , Vacina contra Sarampo/administração & dosagem , Vacina contra Sarampo/imunologia , Modelos Teóricos , Vigilância da População , Vacinação/economia , Vacinação/métodos
8.
Vaccine ; 37(17): 2356-2368, 2019 04 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30914223

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: The lack of specific policies on how many children must be present at a vaccinating location before a healthcare worker can open a measles-containing vaccine (MCV) - i.e. the vial-opening threshold - has led to inconsistent practices, which can have wide-ranging systems effects. METHODS: Using HERMES-generated simulation models of the routine immunization supply chains of Benin, Mozambique and Niger, we evaluated the impact of different vial-opening thresholds (none, 30% of doses must be used, 60%) and MCV presentations (10-dose, 5-dose) on each supply chain. We linked these outputs to a clinical- and economic-outcomes model which translated the change in vaccine availability to associated infections, medical costs, and DALYs. We calculated the economic impact of each policy from the health system perspective. RESULTS: The vial-opening threshold that maximizes vaccine availability while minimizing costs varies between individual countries. In Benin (median session size = 5), implementing a 30% vial-opening threshold and tailoring distribution of 10-dose and 5-dose MCVs to clinics based on session size is the most cost-effective policy, preventing 671 DALYs ($471/DALY averted) compared to baseline (no threshold, 10-dose MCVs). In Niger (median MCV session size = 9), setting a 60% vial-opening threshold and tailoring MCV presentations is the most cost-effective policy, preventing 2897 DALYs ($16.05/ DALY averted). In Mozambique (median session size = 3), setting a 30% vial-opening threshold using 10-dose MCVs is the only beneficial policy compared to baseline, preventing 3081 DALYs ($85.98/DALY averted). Across all three countries, however, a 30% vial-opening threshold using 10-dose MCVs everywhere is the only MCV threshold that consistently benefits each system compared to baseline. CONCLUSION: While the ideal vial-opening threshold policy for MCV varies by supply chain, implementing a 30% vial-opening threshold for 10-dose MCVs benefits each system by improving overall vaccine availability and reducing associated medical costs and DALYs compared to no threshold.


Assuntos
Análise Custo-Benefício , Programas de Imunização/economia , Vacina contra Sarampo/economia , Sarampo/epidemiologia , Sarampo/prevenção & controle , Modelos Teóricos , Vacinação/economia , Algoritmos , Humanos , Vacina contra Sarampo/administração & dosagem , Vacina contra Sarampo/imunologia , Vacinação/métodos
9.
Vaccine ; 37(4): 637-644, 2019 01 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30578087

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Frequently, a country will procure a single vaccine vial size, but the question remains whether tailoring the use of different size vaccine vial presentations based on populations or location characteristics within a single country could provide additional benefits, such as reducing open vial wastage (OVW) or reducing missed vaccination opportunities. METHODS: Using the Highly Extensible Resource for Modeling Supply Chains (HERMES) software, we built a simulation model of the Zambia routine vaccine supply chain. At baseline, we distributed 10-dose Measles-Rubella (MR) vials to all locations, and then distributed 5-dose and 1-dose MR vials to (1) all locations, (2) rural districts, (3) rural health facilities, (4) outreach sites, and (5) locations with average MR session sizes <5 and <10 children. We ran sensitivity on each scenario using MR vial opening thresholds of 0% and 50%, i.e. a healthcare worker opens an MR vaccine for any number of children (0%) or if at least half will be used (50%). RESULTS: Replacing 10-dose MR with 5-dose MR vials everywhere led to the largest reduction in MR OVW, saving 573,892 doses (103,161 doses with the 50% vial opening threshold) and improving MR availability by 1% (9%). This scenario, however, increased cold chain utilization and led to a 1% decrease in availability of other vaccines. Tailoring 5-dose MR vials to rural health facilities or based on average session size reduced cold transport constraints, increased total vaccine availability (+1%) and reduced total cost per dose administered (-$0.01) compared to baseline. CONCLUSIONS: In Zambia, tailoring 5-dose MR vials to rural health facilities or by average session size results in the highest total vaccine availability compared to all other scenarios (regardless of OVT policy) by reducing open vial wastage without increasing cold chain utilization.


Assuntos
Simulação por Computador , Programas de Imunização , Vacina contra Sarampo/provisão & distribuição , Vacina contra Rubéola/provisão & distribuição , Vacinas/provisão & distribuição , Criança , Custos e Análise de Custo , Geografia , Pessoal de Saúde , Humanos , Sarampo/prevenção & controle , Vacina contra Sarampo/economia , Refrigeração , Rubéola (Sarampo Alemão)/prevenção & controle , Vacina contra Rubéola/economia , Vacinação/economia , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Vacinas/economia , Zâmbia
10.
Vaccine ; 37(4): 645-651, 2019 01 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30578088

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Microneedle patch (MNP) technology is designed to simplify the process of vaccine administration; however, depending on its characteristics, MNP technology may provide additional benefits beyond the point-of-use, particularly for vaccine supply chains. METHODS: Using the HERMES modeling software, we examined replacing four routine vaccines - Measles-containing vaccine (MCV), Tetanus toxoid (TT), Rotavirus (Rota) and Pentavalent (Penta) - with MNP versions in the routine vaccine supply chains of Benin, Bihar (India), and Mozambique. RESULTS: Replacing MCV with an MNP (5 cm3-per-dose, 2-month thermostability, current single-dose price-per-dose) improved MCV availability by 13%, 1% and 6% in Benin, Bihar and Mozambique, respectively, and total vaccine availability by 1% in Benin and Mozambique, while increasing the total cost per dose administered by $0.07 in Benin, $0.56 in Bihar and $0.11 in Mozambique. Replacing TT with an MNP improved TT and total vaccine availability (3% and <1%) in Mozambique only, when the patch was 5 cm3 and 2-months thermostable but increased total cost per dose administered by $0.14. Replacing Rota with an MNP (at 5-15 cm3-per-dose, 1-2 month thermostable) improved Rota and total vaccine availability, but only improved Rota vaccine availability in Bihar (at 5 cm3, 1-2 months thermostable), while decreasing total vaccine availability by 1%. Finally, replacing Penta with an MNP (at 5 cm3, 2-months thermostable) improved Penta vaccine availability by 1-8% and total availability by <1-9%. CONCLUSIONS: An MNP for MCV, TT, Rota, or Penta would need to have a smaller or equal volume-per-dose than existing vaccine formulations and be able to be stored outside the cold chain for a continuous period of at least two months to provide additional benefits to all three supply chains under modeled conditions.


Assuntos
Sistemas de Liberação de Medicamentos , Microinjeções , Adesivo Transdérmico , Vacinação/métodos , Vacinas/administração & dosagem , Vacinas/provisão & distribuição , Benin , Custos e Análise de Custo , Humanos , Programas de Imunização , Índia , Vacinas contra Influenza/administração & dosagem , Vacinas contra Influenza/provisão & distribuição , Moçambique , Refrigeração , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/administração & dosagem , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/provisão & distribuição , Toxoide Tetânico/administração & dosagem , Toxoide Tetânico/provisão & distribuição
11.
Vaccine ; 36(39): 5879-5885, 2018 09 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30146404

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: By pairing diluent with vaccines, dual-chamber vaccine injection devices simplify the process of reconstituting vaccines before administration and thus decrease associated open vial wastage and adverse events. However, since these devices are larger than current vaccine vials for lyophilized vaccines, manufacturers need guidance as to how the size of these devices may affect vaccine distribution and delivery. METHODS: Using HERMES-generated immunization supply chain models of Benin, Bihar (India), and Mozambique, we replace the routine 10-dose measles-rubella (MR) lyophilized vaccine with single-dose MR dual-chamber injection devices, ranging the volume-per-dose (5.2-26 cm3) and price-per-dose ($0.70, $1.40). RESULTS: At a volume-per-dose of 5.2 cm3, a dual-chamber injection device results in similar vaccine availability, decreased open vial wastage (OVW), and similar total cost per dose administered as compared to baseline in moderately constrained supply chains. Between volumes of 7.5 cm3 and 26 cm3, these devices lead to a reduction in vaccine availability between 1% and 14% due to increases in cold chain storage utilization between 1% and 7% and increases in average peak transport utilization between 2% and 44%. At the highest volume-per-dose, 26 cm3, vaccine availability decreases between 9% and 14%. The total costs per dose administered varied between each scenario, as decreases in vaccine procurement costs were coupled with decreases in doses administered. However, introduction of a dual-chamber injection device only resulted in improved total cost per dose administered for Benin and Mozambique (at 5.2 cm3 and $0.70-per-dose) when the total number of doses administered changed <1% from baseline. CONCLUSION: In 3 different country supply chains, a single-dose MR dual-chamber injection device would need to be no larger than 5.2 cm3 to not significantly impair the flow of other vaccines.


Assuntos
Injeções/instrumentação , Vacina contra Sarampo/administração & dosagem , Vacina contra Rubéola/administração & dosagem , Vacinação/instrumentação , Benin , Custos e Análise de Custo , Equipamentos e Provisões Hospitalares , Liofilização , Humanos , Programas de Imunização/economia , Índia , Vacina contra Sarampo/economia , Moçambique , Refrigeração , Vacina contra Rubéola/economia , Vacinação/economia
12.
Vaccine ; 33(36): 4451-8, 2015 Aug 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26209835

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Many of the world's vaccine supply chains do not adequately provide vaccines, prompting several questions: how are vaccine supply chains currently structured, are these structures closely tailored to individual countries, and should these supply chains be radically redesigned? METHODS: We segmented the 57 GAVI-eligible countries' vaccine supply chains based on their structure/morphology, analyzed whether these segments correlated with differences in country characteristics, and then utilized HERMES to develop a detailed simulation model of three sample countries' supply chains and explore the cost and impact of various alternative structures. RESULTS: The majority of supply chains (34 of 57) consist of four levels, despite serving a wide diversity of geographical areas and population sizes. These four-level supply chains loosely fall into three clusters [(1) 18 countries relatively more bottom-heavy, i.e., many more storage locations lower in the supply chain, (2) seven with relatively more storage locations in both top and lower levels, and (3) nine comparatively more top-heavy] which do not correlate closely with any of the country characteristics considered. For all three cluster types, our HERMES modeling found that simplified systems (a central location shipping directly to immunization locations with a limited number of Hubs in between) resulted in lower operating costs. CONCLUSION: A standard four-tier design template may have been followed for most countries and raises the possibility that simpler and more tailored designs may be warranted.


Assuntos
Armazenamento de Medicamentos/métodos , Acesso aos Serviços de Saúde/organização & administração , Vacinas/provisão & distribuição , Armazenamento de Medicamentos/economia , Acesso aos Serviços de Saúde/economia , Humanos , Vacinas/economia
13.
J Public Health Manag Pract ; 19 Suppl 2: S65-7, 2013.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23903398

RESUMO

Although vaccine supply chains in many countries require additional stationary storage and transport capacity to meet current and future needs, international donors tend to donate stationary storage devices far more often than transport equipment. To investigate the impact of only adding stationary storage equipment on the capacity requirements of transport devices and vehicles, we used HERMES (Highly Extensible Resource for Modeling Supply Chains) to construct a discrete event simulation model of the Niger vaccine supply chain. We measured the transport capacity requirement for each mode of transport used in the Niger vaccine cold chain, both before and after adding cold rooms and refrigerators to relieve all stationary storage constraints in the system. With the addition of necessary stationary storage, the average transport capacity requirement increased from 88% to 144% for cold trucks, from 101% to 197% for pickup trucks, and from 366% to 420% for vaccine carriers. Therefore, adding stationary storage alone may worsen or create new transport bottlenecks as more vaccines flow through the system, preventing many vaccines from reaching their target populations. Dynamic modeling can reveal such relationships between stationary storage capacity and transport constraints.


Assuntos
Armazenamento de Medicamentos/métodos , Eficiência Organizacional , Meios de Transporte , Vacinas/provisão & distribuição , Modelos Teóricos , Níger
14.
PLoS One ; 8(5): e64303, 2013.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23717590

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: When addressing the urgent task of improving vaccine supply chains, especially to accommodate the introduction of new vaccines, there is often a heavy emphasis on stationary storage. Currently, donations to vaccine supply chains occur largely in the form of storage equipment. METHODS: This study utilized a HERMES-generated detailed, dynamic, discrete event simulation model of the Niger vaccine supply chain to compare the impacts on vaccine availability of adding stationary cold storage versus transport capacity at different levels and to determine whether adding stationary storage capacity alone would be enough to relieve potential bottlenecks when pneumococcal and rotavirus vaccines are introduced by 2015. RESULTS: Relieving regional level storage bottlenecks increased vaccine availability (by 4%) more than relieving storage bottlenecks at the district (1% increase), central (no change), and clinic (no change) levels alone. Increasing transport frequency (or capacity) yielded far greater gains (e.g., 15% increase in vaccine availability when doubling transport frequency to the district level and 18% when tripling). In fact, relieving all stationary storage constraints could only increase vaccine availability by 11%, whereas doubling the transport frequency throughout the system led to a 26% increase and tripling the frequency led to a 30% increase. Increasing transport frequency also reduced the amount of stationary storage space needed in the supply chain. The supply chain required an additional 61,269L of storage to relieve constraints with the current transport frequency, 55,255L with transport frequency doubled, and 51,791L with transport frequency tripled. CONCLUSIONS: When evaluating vaccine supply chains, it is important to understand the interplay between stationary storage and transport. The HERMES-generated dynamic simulation model showed how augmenting transport can result in greater gains than only augmenting stationary storage and can reduce stationary storage needs.


Assuntos
Criopreservação , Meios de Transporte , Vacinas/provisão & distribuição , Níger
15.
Ecotoxicology ; 18(1): 27-33, 2009 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18785007

RESUMO

Pesticides sprayed on farmlands can end up in rivers and be transported into estuaries, where they could affect aquatic organisms in freshwater and marine habitats. A series of experiments were conducted using the amphipod Corophium volutator Pallas (Amphipoda, Corophiidae) and single pesticides, namely atrazine (AT), azinphos-methyl (AZ), carbofuran (CA) and endosulfan (EN) that were added to sediments and covered with seawater. Our goal was to compare the concentrations affecting the survival of the animals relative to potential attractant or repellent properties of sediment-spiked pesticides. The avoidance/preference of contaminated/reference sediments by amphipods was examined after 48 and 96 h of exposure using sediments with different organic carbon content. The octanol-water partition coefficients (log K(ow)) ranked the pesticides binding to sediments as EN > AZ > AT > CA. LC(50) and LC(20) covered a wide range of nominal concentrations and ranked toxicity as CA-AZ > EN > AT. Under the experimental set up, only EN initiated an avoidance response and the organic carbon normalised concentration provided consistent results. Using the present data with wide confidence limits, >20% of a population of C. volutator could perish due to the presence of EN before relocation or detecting CA or AZ in sediments by chemical analysis.


Assuntos
Anfípodes/efeitos dos fármacos , Comportamento Animal/efeitos dos fármacos , Praguicidas/toxicidade , Poluentes Químicos da Água/toxicidade , Animais , Atrazina/análise , Atrazina/química , Atrazina/toxicidade , Azinfos-Metil/análise , Azinfos-Metil/química , Azinfos-Metil/toxicidade , Carbofurano/análise , Carbofurano/química , Carbofurano/toxicidade , Carbono/química , Endossulfano/análise , Endossulfano/química , Endossulfano/toxicidade , Monitoramento Ambiental , Sedimentos Geológicos/análise , Dose Letal Mediana , Praguicidas/análise , Praguicidas/química , Água do Mar/química , Fatores de Tempo , Poluentes Químicos da Água/análise
16.
Sci Total Environ ; 389(1): 178-87, 2008 Jan 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17854860

RESUMO

A non-lethal chemically based approach was used to investigate the quality of harbour sediments receiving combined road runoff and sewage effluents. A previous investigation of the behaviour of the amphipod Corophium volutator linked polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) in sediments corresponding to the probable effects levels listed in the sediment quality guidelines of the Canadian Council of the Marine Environment to a sediment avoidance response. Since the amphipods did not biotransform contaminants, bioaccumulation was the only fate pursued to examine the bioavailability of PAH. For five Halifax Harbour sediments, a relationship was established between the threshold effects level representing the amphipods' avoidance response and the bioaccumulation of PAH. A body burden of 0.3-1.1 mumol/kg (wet weight) was determined for the sum of abundant parental PAH in amphipods exposed to sediments that initiated the behavioural effect. PAH were much more available from spiked sediments than from field sediments, with biota-sediment accumulation factors of 2.2-7.8 compared to <0.01-0.3, respectively. Animals exposed to PAH-spiked sediments avoided contaminated sediments when their body burden was up to seven times higher than observed with field sediments. This latter result and two exposures to sediments collected further away from sewage discharges point to a role for unidentified chemicals in the body burden and behaviour relationship. Further research is warranted to develop this promising assessment tool.


Assuntos
Anfípodes/metabolismo , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Sedimentos Geológicos/química , Hidrocarbonetos Policíclicos Aromáticos/análise , Poluentes Químicos da Água/análise , Anfípodes/efeitos dos fármacos , Animais , Comportamento Animal/efeitos dos fármacos , Biotransformação , Carga Corporal (Radioterapia) , Hidrocarbonetos Policíclicos Aromáticos/toxicidade , Poluentes Químicos da Água/toxicidade
18.
Mar Environ Res ; 59(2): 101-17, 2005 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15364511

RESUMO

Water and particles from three sites located in Halifax Harbour, near and further away from combined municipal sewage effluents (CMSE) were analysed for parental and alkylated polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (par and alkPAH). Bioavailability of PAH was compared for inter-tidal mussels collected at the same sites in April and November. The PAH fingerprint determined over 9 sampling times covering a period of 19 months differed more between phases (water and particles) and seasons, than between sites. In the spring, more alkPAH associated with diesel and gasoline were detected in the soluble phase, along with more bioaccumulation of alkPAH in inter-tidal mussels. A broader number of parPAH were detected in mussels collected in the fall. The mean sum of dissolved alkPAH concentrations was higher in water at the site closer to raw CMSE than at the other two sites and particles of that site. However, lowest bioconcentration factors (BCF) were determined in mussels of this more contaminated site. Similar biota-particle accumulation factors (BPAF) were determined for parPAH in mussels from the three sites, all lower than the BCF of alkPAH. The study indicates that sewage treatment plants will reduce the amount of parPAH especially larger than fluoranthene and pyrene from being deposited in the harbour; that alk naphthalenes and fluorenes present in water will continue to be discharged; that the disturbance of sediments can make particle-bound PAH available to mussels.


Assuntos
Bivalves/química , Hidrocarbonetos Policíclicos Aromáticos/análise , Hidrocarbonetos Policíclicos Aromáticos/farmacocinética , Esgotos/química , Poluentes Químicos da Água/análise , Poluentes Químicos da Água/farmacocinética , Animais , Disponibilidade Biológica , Monitoramento Ambiental , Nova Escócia , Hidrocarbonetos Policíclicos Aromáticos/química , Estações do Ano , Água do Mar/química , Solubilidade , Distribuição Tecidual
19.
Curr Opin Investig Drugs ; 5(10): 1051-62, 2004 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15535426

RESUMO

The prevalence of obesity and type 2 diabetes, two strongly correlated disorders, is increasing worldwide. Weight loss can reduce the risk of developing type 2 diabetes and the pharmacological treatments normally required to manage this disorder. Even though dietary and lifestyle changes may eventually reduce obesity for some individuals, new safe and more efficacious drugs are required for successful weight reduction and treatment of type 2 diabetes in a large proportion of obese individuals. In addition to targeting known G protein-coupled receptors (GPCRs), several orphan GPCRs expressed in central nervous system areas known to regulate feeding may provide new targets for the treatment of obesity. Similarly, the pancreas contains numerous islet GPCRs as well as an abundance of orphan GPCRs that potentially could emerge as targets for future antidiabetic compounds. One of the major challenges facing the pharmaceutical industry is how to rapidly establish the function and therapeutic relevance of orphan GPCRs, some of which may represent novel targets for the discovery of the next generation of drugs to effectively treat obesity and type 2 diabetes. This review will focus on the significant potential of known and orphan GPCRs as targets for the discovery of new drugs to successfully treat these serious disorders.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Hipoglicemiantes/uso terapêutico , Obesidade/tratamento farmacológico , Receptores Acoplados a Proteínas G/metabolismo , Animais , Regulação do Apetite/efeitos dos fármacos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/metabolismo , Metabolismo Energético/efeitos dos fármacos , Humanos , Hipoglicemiantes/farmacologia , Ligantes , Obesidade/metabolismo
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